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Analysis - Looking 5 days ahead into the weather models

Analysis provided by UKww member Retron
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Saturday. Issued 0439z, 31/08/10.

ECMWF: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
SE'lies cover the UK, with a high to the NE and a low to the SW. The winds become stronger ESE'lies on day 6 as low pressure deepens to the SW, followed by strong easterlies on day 7 with low pressure still to the SW.

MetO: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The Met Office run brings ESE'lies on days 5 and 6 with a high to the north and a trough approaching from the SW.

GFS: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn1201.png
SSE'lies cover the UK, with a high to the NE and a low to the west. Charts beyond T+120 were unavailable at the time of writing.

GEM: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif
SE'lies cover the UK, this time with complex low pressure to the west.

JMA: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rjma1201.gif
A secondary low lies to the SW, leading to SSE'lies for the UK.

In summary, SE'lies or SSE'lies will cover the UK for the end of the weekend, with a high to the NE and a low to the west. It's likely that the low will move slowly ESE'wards, with an increasing risk of rain spreading from the south into next week.
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