|
|
Weekly Weather Forecast provided to UKww by WiseWeather.co.uk
http://www.wiseweather.co.uk
|
|
WW FORECAST FOR Monday 30th January – Sunday 5th February 2012
ISSUED Saturday 28th January 2012 1120GMT
SEVERE WEATHER RISKS OVER THE PERIOD- A general risk of wintry weather exists this week for the UK with perhaps the upland NW of England and Wales at most risk initially of seeing any appreciable snow and more widely Wales and the south, away from the SW, by the week’s end
Monday 30th will see an area of high pressure over Scandinavia affect most parts but a weak low pressure will likely sink SE across S Ireland towards the Channel Isles by midday. Clear periods inland overnight giving a frost with icy patches in the north & east away from coasts where there may be a few wintry showers then sunny periods in the north & NE by day with a few more wintry showers at times possibly giving hill accumulations of 2-5cm in E Scotland. An area of mainly light to moderate rain will affect N Ireland, NW England, Wales and the SW at first overnight and this may turn to snow inland across central, north & east Wales in particular at times overnight giving local accumulations of 3-7cm. Mainly rain seems likely elsewhere further west but higher ground in the Midlands & south and perhaps the NW of England and N Ireland may well see some sleet & snow as well for a time. The extent eastwards of this wintry precipitation is unclear but probably staying cloudy all day in the west at least with further outbreaks of rain, sleet and hill snow but generally clearing skies by afternoon with a few sunny periods developing from the north east. As temperature falls by evening icy patches are likely and a moderate frost inland across most parts of England away from the SW. Temperatures by day up to a mild 10C in the far south west but more generally 2-4C and 1-2C in the Highlands and E Scotland and parts of mid and north Wales.
Tuesday 31st looks likely to see a cold night inland with a moderate frost away from coasts but less cold in the far west and NW, this including all of west Wales and N Ireland. In the western Isles of Scotland a strong to near gale S-SEly flow will develop as fronts stagnate here, giving some mainly light rain & sleet or hill snow at times during the day for much of the north western UK with some further slight accumulations. A high pressure ridge will lie across the east & NE though with low pressure sliding away SE into N France. It will be mainly dry with a few sunny spells by day inland across England but a few wintry showers may affect the eastern & NE coasts. Temperatures reaching a mild 8-9C in the far south west, 4C near east coasts but more like a rather raw 1-2C generally and just -1C in Highland Scotland and hills elsewhere.
Wednesday 1st looks set to see a moderate or locally fresh SE’ly flow continue with some rain & sleet, hill snow and a lot of low cloud in the NW of the UK, elsewhere clear periods and a moderate frost with icy patches to start in many areas but generally dry away from east coasts where some light wintry showers are possible. Inland by day away from the east and SE coasts generally dry and rather cloudy but some sunny periods .The east & SE may see a few bright periods but wintry showers as well at times are possible. Some icy patches again as temperatures fall away again inland before midnight. Winds across exposed north western parts of Scotland may be quite strong at first but abate a bit generally later. Temperatures will generally be a cold 2-3C at best in most parts but more like 6C in the far NW and the far SW and -1C over the upland areas of the UK.
Thursday 2nd looks likely to see the cold Ely flow continue in the east , a more SEly in the west with weak fronts still straddling north western parts of the UK and giving a mix of rain, sleet and snow in places as far east as E Scotland, mid Wales and NW England. In the east & SE generally a bit drier and brighter with a few wintry flurries possible near coasts. An early & late moderate frost despite the cloud and breeze inland for many parts though, away from the far SW, west and NW. Temperatures up 5-6C in the southwest but generally more like a raw 1-3C further NE for most areas and only -1C over Welsh and northern England hills and the Scottish Highlands
Friday 3rd is likely to see a fresh or strong S’ly flow develop in the west as winds pick up here and fronts try to move in from the west but the east and SE still rather more under the influence of Scandinavian high pressure by day. An early & late moderate frost in places here away from coasts in particular, with icy patches about. Staying mainly rather cloudier in the west and north west with some patchy sleet & snow at times with a lot of low cloud and mist about esp near coasts. Bright or sunny periods in the east by day but they‘ll probably be quite limited for many, esp near coasts where there may be a further wintry showers. Temperatures up to about 4-6C at best in the far SW and west but generally 0-2C and just -2C over high ground, esp the Highlands.
As we move into the weekend it’s uncertain but on Saturday 4th it looks like we could see high pressure still rather dominant across Scandinavia with a ridge SE but a weak low pressure area disrupt across the SW and sink SE towards the N France. Still quite widespread frost in places night and day in the north and east but more in the way of an E’ly breeze will keep temperatures somewhat above freezing near coasts with wintry showers at times here and across most of England and Wales probably staying rather cloudy with some snow at times, possibly giving moderate falls in places, perhaps most likely in central & southern areas. A rather bitter and raw day with temperatures maxing at about -1 to 1C for many, though perhaps up to 6C in the SW and over high ground more like -2C esp the Highlands.
Sunday 5th in uncertain but may well see the fresh-strong SEly flow persist in many parts with a lot of low cloud and some sleet or snow at times. Any early low cloud & mist or drizzle further east tending to break up a bit and then generally a few bright spells though wintry showers are possible to. Despite the winds an early & late frost inland for many away from the far west and SW with icy patches about , the Highlands may see as low as -8C in the glens. Temperatures by day a very cold -2 to 1C accentuated by the wind chill though more like 3-5C in the SW and around -4C across the exposed uplands.
FEATURES TO MONITOR THIS WEEK
*Quite windy in the exposed parts of the far west and NW midweek & onwards with gusts to 60mph on exposed headlands
*Frosts likely inland through the week for most parts, locally severe in places in central northern England & Scottish eastern & Highland areas
*Moderate to high risk of snow at times through the week esp in the west over upland parts in Wales and the NW hills as well as the Highlands & Northern Scotland and near east coasts as well and then over the parts of the south and western Uk and may central areas too as well by the weekend.
*Plenty of icy patches inland at night where pptn has fallen by day at times during the week and into the weekend
FORECAST CONFIDENCE is moderate-high for the patterning & moderate for detail until about Thursday but moderate for patterning and detail by Friday onwards
|
|
|
|
Wiseweather and UKww disclaimer: The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of this data.
Wiseweather and UKww are providing the data "as is" and disclaim any and all warranties,
whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability
or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will Wiseweather or UKww be liable to
you or to any third party for any use or misuse of the forecasts or related data.
|
|
|